nfl projections
box scores
Per-player, per-week passing, rushing and receiving projections: yards and touchdowns, plus receptions and interceptions.
QB Projections
this week · sorted by passing yards| loading… |
Methodology
ridge per (position × stat) · forward 2026Inputs: 5-feature substrate — recent-form rate, season-rate, opponent baseline, role/depth-chart, schedule strength.
Coverage: 8,738 player-week rows × 18 stat columns. 4 positions modeled per Ridge separately: QB (1207 rows), RB (2176), WR (3349), TE (2006). Schedule walks the full 2026 regular season (18 weeks).
Refresh: the sports_lines cron re-runs the model every Monday 05:00 (post-Sunday games) during the season, picking up coaching/scheme shifts, depth-chart moves, injuries.
What this is NOT: not fantasy points (use the season-aggregate page for PPR/standard scoring), not playoff projections (season schedule only), not a DST or K projection.
v2 roadmap (banked): coaching/scheme regime shift overlay (e.g. Vrabel→NE), PPR aggregation column, rookie overlay via our transfer model, injury filter, per-projection CI from Ridge variance + holdout MAE.