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nfl projections

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We rank all 32 teams every week and project every player for fantasy. We call every game before kickoff. Then we publish how those calls turned out.

the ways in
how the calls have held up
what has changed
release notes

release notes

v1.0: Methodology locked. Blurb shipped.

methodology writeups

NFL projections come in three layers: a weekly in-season fit, a preseason season-long projection calibrated against published benchmarks, and a coaching-change adjustment for new head coaches or coordinators. Each layer ships only after beating the previous version on seasons it wasn't trained on.

model retrospectives

what we predicted vs. what happened. honest walk-backs included.