fantasy

nfl projections

fantasy

PPR, half-PPR and standard, with ceiling, floor and our Fades / Due For a Bump watch list.

how these are projected

real TD-fueled boom/bust

Trust signal

real
Sticky, usage-driven production — volume, targets and air-yards he actually earns. Projected to hold this rate.
TD-fueled
Last year's value leaned on touchdowns beyond what the usage supports. Projected to regress to the mean.
boom/bust
High week-to-week variance — league-winning ceiling, bench-worthy floor.

green = projected to hold this rate
amber = projected to regress to the mean
Resolve fantasy board — rest-of-season value with our research signals. Tiers and value are computed within each position (value shown as a percentile — 100th = best, ~50th = average). TRUST = sticky usage vs regressing TDs.
# player tier ppr trust TD Δ proj TD use next 3 value
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